If the time between arrivals in a Poisson process follows an exponential distribution with a rate parameter (λ) of 0.2 arrivals per minute, what is the probability that the time between two arrivals is less than 5 minutes?
Cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the exponential distribution is given by:
P(X≤x)=1−e(−λx)
Where:
- P(X≤x) is the probability that the time between arrivals is less than or equal to x.
- λ (lambda) is the rate parameter (0.2 arrivals per minute).
- e is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).
- x is the time interval (5 minutes in this case).
Now, plug in the values and calculate the probability:
P(X≤5)=1−e^(−0.2∗5)
P(X≤5)=1−e^(−1)≈1−0.36788≈0.6321
So, the probability that the time between two arrivals is less than 5 minutes is approximately 0.6321.